RADAR 4i Can Anticipate Global Shifts – And that is vital for Brazil – Economic Analysis (12.19.2025)
We are pleased to announce the publication of the latest edition of RADAR 4i, featuring a detailed analysis of the global and Brazilian economic landscape, with data effective as of December 19, 2025.
This report provides a clear view of the macroeconomic forces impacting your planning and investment decisions.
Strategic Market Insight
Global Scenario: Prudence in Monetary Policy
- FOMC Decision: The FED reduced the interest rate by 25 basis points to a range of 3.5% to 3.75%.
- Neutral Signaling: Monetary policy is approaching a neutral level, requiring more prudent decisions moving forward.
- 2026 Projections: Baseline projects two additional cuts in March and June, though resilient economic activity may dictate a more cautious pace.
Focus on Brazil: Inflation and Activity Indicators
- IPCA: Inflation rose 0.18% in November, reaching 4.46% over 12 months, driven by slowdowns in food and apparel sectors.
- Services Sector: Services volume advanced 0.3% in October, hitting a new historic high.
- Trade and Industry: Narrow retail sales grew 1.1% year-over-year, while industrial production saw a 0.5% decline in October.
- Governability: The Governability Index (I-GOV) closed at 49.5%, recording strong results for the current term.
Download the Full Report (PDF)
Access the detailed technical analysis, activity charts, and inflation heatmaps by clicking the link below to download the English version:
*Disclaimer: This material is for informational purposes. Always consult a qualified professional before making financial or investment decisions.*
